Trends from NFL Combine Data may Predict Performance Values of Future NFL Draft Picks

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Authors

Leiting, Keith
Gleason, Benjamin

Issue Date

2024-11-08

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Article, Published

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en_US

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The NFL Combine has been conducted for years with a paucity of investigations regarding predictive validity. Through the use of trend analysis and standard error of estimate, strength and conditioning coaches may be able to identify minimum performance values of future NFL draft picks. Application of these methods was able to predict the minimum performance values of the 2012 NFL draft picks with 69-84% success for all positions. This means that depending upon position, 69-84% of all draft picks met the minimum performance standards set by linear standard error of estimate boundaries applied to trend analysis. Therefore, minimum performance values for future draft picks could be used as a goal for athletes to achieve prior to their NFL Combine debut because it showed high predictive validity with the 2012 draftees.

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